Analysis and odds for Leeds vs Sunderland at 02:30 on March 4th, Premier League

02/03/2026 16:28:00 SportScoop

Analysis and odds for Leeds vs Sunderland at 02:30 on March 4th. Prediction of the result, expected lineups, and expert match preview for the Leeds vs Sunderland fixture in Premier League Matchweek 29.

Match Preview: Leeds vs Sunderland

90-Minute Handicap: 0 : 1/2

Total Goals: 2 1/4

Leeds enter this clash with Sunderland having just ended a four-match unbeaten run with a narrow defeat to Manchester City. Nevertheless, the performance of Daniel Farke's side still offered positive signs, especially after taking points from Chelsea and Aston Villa prior. In the standings, Leeds have established a safe distance from the relegation zone, showing an impressive resurgence since December, losing only 3 of their last 16 matches across all competitions. However, the issue for the Elland Road side is an unstable defense, having conceded in 10 of their last 11 games.

Leeds' greatest strength lies at home. They have scored 22 goals here, accounting for 59% of their season's total, averaging 1.69 goals per game and ranking joint 7th for home scoring efficiency. Although they have conceded 18 goals, the average of 1.38 goals conceded per game still reflects a relatively balanced state of play. Notably, Leeds are one of the most disciplined teams in the league, having received no red cards after 27 rounds. Dominic Calvert-Lewin, with 10 goals, is their biggest attacking hope, ranking 6th in the Golden Boot race.

Nhận định, soi tỷ lệ Leeds vs Sunderland 02h30 ngày 04/03, Premier League - Ảnh 1.

On the opposite side, Sunderland possess alarming away form. They have scored only 6 goals on the road, averaging 0.46 goals per game, ranking 19th in the league for away goals scored. Conversely, they have conceded 20 times away, averaging 1.54 goals per game. Sunderland are also among the three teams with the fewest goals this season (28 in 27 rounds) and are in the top three for allowing the most shots against (388). A run of 8 away matches without a win, losing the last three, clearly demonstrates their instability.

In head-to-head meetings, the last 5 encounters have seen each team win once with three draws, the most recent in December 2025 ending 1-1. In the last 9 meetings, a 2-goal total has been the most frequent outcome. Leeds have scored 8 goals from 66 shots (12.12%), while Sunderland have scored 9 from 61 attempts (14.75%). On average in these matches, Leeds score 0.89 goals, 0.48 below their seasonal average; Sunderland average 1 goal per game, 0.04 below their season's rate. With home advantage and their opponent's poor away form, Leeds have a great chance to return to winning ways.